Friday, September 27, 2019

La Semaine Dernière A Mes Yeux


(20 septembre --- 27 septembre)
Selon un reportage, des dirigeants du parti en exercice se sont enfuis après le gouvernement a entamé une série de raide contre casino clandestin. Police a alerté la force frontière sur leur.

Selon un reportage, police a aidé des Népalais à enfuir l'appartement dans lequel ils résidaient.
Selon un reportage, police a appréhendé deux dirigeants des clubs où les casinos clandestins avaient été mis en place et saisis des argents et d'or depuis chez eux.

Selon un reportage, une explosion de mine a péri un Rohingya à Bandarban, près de la frontière entre Bangladesh et Birmanie.

Selon un reportage, naufrage a tué 10 personnes à Sunamganj.

Selon un reportage, police afghane a appréhendé des terroristes présumés dont un Bangladais à Kaboul.

Selon un reportage, l'armée de la terre a appréhendé un membre blessé d' un groupe rebelle de CHT après une fusillade courte à Khagrachhari.

Selon un reportage, la société française Sanofi va bientôt arrêter son opération au Bangladesh. Il prépare à vendre ses actions. Pendant que tous ses rivals au Bangladesh détiennent 2 pourcent du marché pharmaceutique, il y détient moins de 2 pourcent. Avant la société anglaise GlaxoSmithKline avait arrêté son opération ici.

Selon un reportage, 4 membres d'une famille ont été massacrés à Ukhia, Cox's Bazar. Le patron travaille à Dubaï.
Selon un reportage, presque 110 femmes de chambre dont 26 sont victimes de violence, sont retournés depuis l'Arabie saoudite le 26 août.

Thursday, September 26, 2019

A Campaign Far From A Complete Success


Government boasts its "Digital Bangladesh" campaign as one of its most successful projects. But when it comes to realize this dream, it has miles to go to call this campaign a complete success. A quick look at some of the projects under the banner reveals that people's right to information and as well as access to public information has been digitized to a great length. Spread of e-commerce and online payment system led the new entrepreneurs to embrace ICT to overcome major stumbling blocks of a new business.

However, there are still unexplored territories that call for urgent attention. Why these crucial and vital sectors have not yet brought under the clutches of this Digital Bangladesh campaign remains a mystery to many, including me.

Take for instance, the delay in launching the planned automated payment system of Bangladesh Petroleum Corporation(BPC). BPC is undoubtedly the country's biggest company with annual turnover of TK 500 billion. The planned automation is supposed to cut the payment time to 4 days from 10 months. BPC faced stiff resistance from a certain quarter that does not want to see BPC receives revenues from its oil sales from state-run petroleum products marketing and distribution companies in such a short span of time.

If payments take as long as 10 months to reach BPC coffer, then it is pretty understandable that those who benefited from this delay will leave no stone unturned to strew the road to automation with all kinds of hurdles. Holding BPC's payments for 10 months , they can invest it to somewhere else and make lots of money. Frankly speaking, they can open 3-month or 6-month-long deposits at banks and earn huge interests. Or they can erect a whole new multi-storey building at any part of Bangladesh. In addition, such time lag also raises the possibility of leakages in the system. A news report divulged that a local company already developed the payment software, but it could not proceed with the scheduled launching due to the resistance from this vested quarter.

Another area that requires attention of staunchest advocates of Digital Bangladesh is the transport sector. Reckless driving and utter disregard of traffic rules everyday kills scores of people in Bangladesh. Even the issue was advanced to wage a popular movement to change the rules and ongoing practices. Little changes took place. In Dhaka, we had once a well installed transport policy that was literally thrown away because of political consideration.

A World Bank study revealed that politicians and corrupt bureaucrats involved in the transport business, which is merely a mean to whiten illicit money. Urge to start the change is not there. These public transports ply over from one end to the other end of Dhaka. So it is easy for a quarter to transport contraband from one entry point to other entry point using this transport system since it is not subject to police checking.

Despite an overwhelming number of casualties from road mishaps and drug invasion, we do not see any concrete step from the government to regulate the sector. For instance, in light of digital Bangladesh government can easily set up a database containing names and addresses of drivers and assistants of buses and taxis. Similarly vehicle tracking system, radio communications system can be introduced so that traffic department can monitor in real time the status of a vehicle in a busy working day. This will also help in check the plying of unfit vehicles.

Unfortunately government is not enthusiastic to digitize the transport sector.

We also witnessed from the part of government to launch a local social media platform. In this end, our neighbour surpassed us with the launch of MM Social. It all happened when Facebook took off several pages and accounts regarding Myanmar Armed Forces. Now Myanmar will have a leading advantage in operating this kind of platforms and problems they pose.

Ours still remains a dream. We have no short of talents at home, but we should not be shy taking assistance from outside. A country that can easily be made a strategic partner in our Digital Bangladesh endeavour is Russia, which is already implementing several energy and military procurement projects. Russia also has social media platform like Vkontakte. Bangladesh can invite Russian Social media platforms to launch joint initiatives in this country, opening up opportunities for local tech savvy population and small entrepreneurs.

Russia has also made great leap forward in innovative textiles, which have technical challenges in making them. According to a news report, Russian innovative and smart textiles market is estimated at $1.3 billion and is growing at pace faster than European countries. Using the thawed relations, Bangladesh can embark on collaborative projects with Russian textiles universities and manufacturers to speed up its ongoing automation, to manufacture smart textiles that will dominate the future clothes market, to initiate research on effluent plant to deal with hazardous textiles residue and to have a leading edge in computational textiles that will help both the countries.

It is indeed disappointing that government's "Digital Bangladesh" is trapped inside banal slogans and lofty ambition. No concrete plan has yet been unveiled in crucial strategic sectors. Noticeable is the politically biased implementation of some digital Bangladesh projects. To create continuous ripple of change, Digital Bangladesh campaign should focus on the crucial sectors.

Saturday, September 21, 2019

Video Did Not Kill The Radio Star

Recent manifestation of some laid off RMG workers at some pockets of Dhaka and neighbouring districts brought forth a debate that was already settled. It is all about whether automation kills jobs.

Bangladeshi RMG industry in recent years inclined towards automation that requires less operators or workers at various stages of a production process. Some factories reintroduced the laid off workers to other section while the rest continue to terminate them without paying dues. Many of these angry workers descended on the streets and protested for their dues.

I once caught myself in one of these unrests in Mirpur that literally stopped the vehicular movement for half a day.

Many here tried to blame automation for this lay off and unrest.

The RMG industry and Textiles sector itself shows how hollow the argument is. From handloom to powerloom to sophisticated machineries, bevy of equipments have been introduced to this strategically crucial sector since this sector started to fetch forex for the country. Have you seen any decline in recruitment? No. What changes did unfold before us? We started to produce woven shirts, sweaters, denim pants etc that we had not produced before. Previously we were only good at producing couple of knit items. Now our knit garments industry produces highly value added items. Moreover, productivity has also increased.

With adoption of new machinery, our RMG and Textiles industry now produces more technically challenging items that bring more revenues. As revenues from manufacturing traditional item do not cease to come, exporters invested more in production of value added items. For instance, many knit exporters invested heavily on knit items that require embroidery work. To produce these high value items, they invested in embroidery machines and to train operators so that the embroidered work reflects the finest quality of craftsmanship.

It is pretty obvious from this example that sophisticated machinery not only relieves the abundant labours from producing traditional items, it also reemploys some of them on production of more high value items.

One may argue that one or two initiatives cannot be presented as examples. But five years down the line more firms will follow the successful initiatives as automation overwhelms the present production process. Automation in RMG is not a job killing process, rather it is a stage reducing process. More jobs will be created at a later date.

Pertinent would be to cite the example of industrial revolution. Similar argument was floated back then. It was widely viewed as a process to kill jobs at agricultural sector. However, industrial revolution brought the rural peasants to cities and offered them jobs at new industries. A new relationship between recruiter and employee was developed through the instrument of job contract. The rural peasants earned more by working in the industry and mechanization also revolutionized the agricultural sector in general.More environment friendly and cost effective production process was developed and introduced. Innovation in the processing and preservation and introduction of supply chain management system also made agriculture a lucrative business in the post industrial phase.


So new ideas and technologies are not job killing process but open up new alleys of opportunities in general.

Another wrong perception about automation is that it will lower wages at a certain industry. It is perhaps not the case. Wages may vary across the industry, but introduction of new technology will not drive the wages to such a low level that workers refuse to work. Wages are based on a worker's decision to buy a bucket of goods and services that are quintessential to survive at a certain point of time.Prices of goods and services go up over the years due to inflation. This must reflect on bare minimum wages, below which a worker refuses to work. As long as inflation does its work, wages are supposed to increase.

Moreover, adoption of new technology often leads to higher productivity and more revenue. This higher productivity also plays a role to raise wages of employees of all levels.

If we take a close look at the informal sector, we will see wages of rickshaw pullers and construction workers rose significantly over the years.Please note the two sectors also witnessed tremendous boom in technology in recent years.Battery-run rickshaws augmented earnings of rickshaw pullers and increasing use of machinery did not lower the wages of construction worker.

Battery-run rickshaws literally increased the wages of whole rickshaw industry, including the tri-cycle rickshaws. Meanwhile, rising food prices and higher wages in other sectors did not cause the rickshaw fare to fall in spite of the fact that overwhelming number of rickshaws ply over the streets.

In construction industry of Dhaka, inflation coupled with use of machinery and higher wages in other sectors also raised the  wages in this industry.

In a nutshell, argument floated in favour of automation kills jobs sounds hollow at the end of the day. The Buggles back in late '70s composed a popular song on the wake of  arrival of VCR called " Video killed the radio star". In the course of time, title of the song was proved wrong. Radio Stars were temporarily went off the radars of people's memory. But internet and mobile phone, dotted with FM radio, resurrected those Radio Stars.Now we have more FM radio stations and radio jockeys. Sometimes we watch live some radio programmes on social media or TV and simultaneously listen to the programmes on Radio. Technology is the healer, not the killer.

Friday, September 20, 2019

La Semaine Dernière A Mes Yeux


( 14 septembre --- 21 septembre)
J'ai peiné de mettre à jour mon site puisque mon portable épuise souvent et mon laptop est complètement en panne.

Selon un reportage, deux membres de JSS ont été tués par balles à CHT.

Selon un autre reportage, des étudiants d'une école, dirigé par un groupe indigène, se sont insurgés contre l'autorité après un étudiant avait sauté depuis deuxième étage de l'école suite réprimande pour obtenir mauvaise note dans l'examen. Ils sont vandalisé cour d'école.

Selon un reportage, le parti en exercice a entamé une purge dans le parti. Plusieurs dirigeants ont été licenciés et arrêtes par la force de sécurité. La force élite a aussi fait raide dans des clubs où casinos clandestins ont été mis en place par des dirigeants supérieurs.

Selon un reportage, police a appréhendé une bande d'escroc qui a falsifié 5000 cartes d'identité nationale en utilisant les laptops volés depuis annexe régionale de la commission électorale.

Selon un reportage, des ouvriers d'atelier de confection sont descendus dans les rues et manifesté pour arriérés et licenciement dans plusieurs endroits de Dhaka. Selon un reportage, police a arrêté des membres d'une unité élite pour avoir vendu des yabas saisis.

Saturday, September 14, 2019

La Semaine Dernière A Mes Yeux

(6 septembre --- 13 septembre)

Selon un reportage, société norvégienne Telenor dans un communiqué s'est dit qu'elle avait brusquement mis le fin au pourparlers de fusion entre Telenor et Axiata dans le marché de l'Asie du sud.

Selon un reportage, une explosion mystérieuse dans un restaurant à Gazipur a laissé blessé une dizaine de personnes.

Selon un reportage de BBC, Tatmadaw a construit facilité militaire sur les villages de Rohingya ciblé par violence et assaut incendiaire.

Selon un reportage, incendie a ravagé une usine de frigo à Gazipur.

Selon un reportage, les ouvrières d'atelier de confection font au sujet de harcèlement sexuel au Bangladesh. Le plateforme d'atelier de confection, BGMEA, se dresse contre le reportage de Guardian.

Thursday, September 5, 2019

La Semaine Dernière A Mes Yeux

(30 août --- 1 septembre)
Selon un reportage, État islamique a revendiqué un attentat contre police le samedi soir. Le secrétaire général du parti en exercice a mis en op garde qu'il y aurait attentat comme ça à l'avenir.

Selon un reportage, la Chine a mis 5 banques bangladaises dans la liste noire pour avoir détecté les transactions fausses qui coûtaient les importateurs bangladais et chinois millions de dollars.

Selon un reportage, autorité de télécommunications a ordonné de fermer tous les services de télécommunications dans les camps de Rohingya.

Selon un reportage, un atelier de confection a licencié environ 700 ouvriers sous prétexte de manque de commande d'achat à Tejgaon, Dhaka.

Selon un reportage, luttes intestines de la filiale du parti en exercice se sont soldées par fermeture de l'université de la technologie à Noakhali.

Selon un reportage, un policier a été appréhendé pendant un cambriolage à Motijheel.

Selon un reportage, des fidèles du parti en exercice et élèves d'un séminaire ont déjoué une tentative d'évincer une cuisine de séminaire,s'installe dans un parc opéré par la mairie de Dhaka nord à Mohammadpur.

Selon un reportage, le gouvernement va bientôt créer RMG Sustainability Council afin de prendre responsabilité de l'Accord, plateforme des acheteurs européens de vêtements bangladais d'ici le 25 novembre.

Wednesday, September 4, 2019

Enforce Laws To Protect Consumer Rights

Slapping punitive tariffs for hiding information on new subscribers ratchets up tension between telecom regulator and two leading mobile operators. The matter reached to court and the operators sought to settle the issue outside the court. BTRC keeps saying that the two have to pay the tariffs and even cut their bandwidth to comply.

Mobile operators have every reason to get angry over imposition of supplementary duties every now and then. However, telecom regulator does not take the operators into task for violating consumer rights and harming competition.

In recent years, we witnessed mergers of key mobile operators. Interestingly no hue and cry has been heard from the government side. In USA, antitrust laws protect consumer interests and head off initiative to harm competition. At the heart of US antitrust policies lies the Sherman Act , the Clayton Act and the Federal Trade Commission Act. The Sherman Act discourages bad monopoly practices. Meanwhile the Clayton Act prevents price discrimination, tie-ins, exclusive dealings, mergers that shrink competition and control of competing firms by interrelated board of directors. The Federal Trade Commission Act paved the path for creation of Federal Trade Commission Act to enforce antitrust laws.

Like US antitrust laws, Bangladesh in 2012 passed Competition Act that aims " to make provisions to promote, ensure and sustain congenial atmosphere for the competition in the trade, and to prevent, control and eradicate collusion, monopoly and oligopoly, combination or abuse of dominant position or activities adverse to the competition." It also entailed creation of Bangladesh Competition Commission (BCC). Unfortunately BCC first witnessed appointment of its chairman back in 2016 and the body remains a toothless tiger under Ministry of Commerce with an annual budget of Tk 1.8 million, which is subject to ministry's approval.

In USA, not all mergers and acquisitions deem anti-consumer and anti-competition if those amalgamations result in more efficiency for the firm and thereby improving the welfare of the society as a whole. For instance, merger of two competing firms may lower the marginal cost of the combined firm in post merger period. Since the firm produces at lower marginal cost than before its efficient production may render better quality product or more output at same price or both for the consumers. Thus the social welfare is also increased because of this merger. In this light merger is good and antitrust laws do not put any obstacle in such amalgamation. A merger may also lead to increase in price and less output. A deadweight loss is attributed to the rise in price and lowering of output. Antitrust laws enforcement authority examines whether efficiency gains outweigh deadweight loss of a potential merger. If efficiency gains offset or more than offset deadweight loss of a merger plan then the court or antitrust law enforcement body nods affirmatively to such merger proposal. Otherwise, it throws cold water to merger plan. Those managed to get their merger deals passed the probing eyes of antitrust laws enforcement bodies did so by selling their efficiency gain's concept.

Bangladesh's mobile telecommunications industry is characterized by oligopoly: identical product and few operators. Previously six operators dominated the industry. Axiata's acquisition of Airtel and dissolution of Citycell reduced the number of operators to four. One does not have to be an expert to say competition is reduced because of merger. Are the consumers better off now than before? Coming back to it a little bit later.

In the USA, authority blocks merger or acquisition attempt if it leads to increase of market power of the merged firm. This market power is defined by firm's ability to set price above the price under perfect competition. One of the indirect measure of this market power is the share of the market. Often a market share of 50 percent is deemed low as market power if other firms can enter easily into the market and drive price lower to the competitive market. Unfortunately this is not easy in Bangladesh's mobile telecommunications service industry. Entry is not easy here. So any merger insinuates concentration of market power to merged company and thereby reduction in competition. EBL securities prepared an analysis for its clients about the mobile operators of Bangladesh. According to EBL Securities Limited, GrameenPhone and Robi own 43% and 33% of market share of active mobile internet subscribers respectively in September, 2018. In terms of revenue, GrameenPhone holds 58% of the market share whereas Robi holds 28% of the market share till the third quarter in 2018. Before 2016 when the merger between Airtel and Robi took place, Robi had 26% of the revenue market. Clearly Robi's revenue market share increased by 2% due to merger. Technically speaking a reduction in competition occurred.The body that supposed to look into this matter , Bangladesh Competition Commission, was formed in that same year. However, Bangladesh Telecom Regulatory Commission introduced Significant Market Player clause that allows it to impose restrictive measures to curb influence of a dominant market player.

Court in December 2018 also banned any hike in call rate. However call rate increased significantly since the merger of Airtel and Robi. Earlier 33 paisa/ minute was the lowest available call rate, now it is 77 paisa/ minute. When it comes to mobile internet data, BTRC intervened to raise the duration of all data packs to a minimum of one week. From my personal experience I can tell operators took off many offers following the instruction. For instance, data pack of 25 MB for 4 hours at Tk 5 literally disappeared. Data pack worth Tk 9 for 24 hours resulted in a duration of 72 hours. Consumers' cost on data pack has increased following reduction in competition. In addition, call drop crops up every now and then in the middle of conversation, prompting BTRC order to compensate subscribers in the event of call drop. Consumers in general do not receive more output from the leading operators let alone experience better service and products. Out of the blue this year we came to learn via Telenor website a negotiation was started to merge Axiata and Telenor in South Asia. However, Axiata underscored that Bangladesh operation is not part of the merger discussion. It is hilarious to hear such argument when operations of a significant market are about to come under one clutch and only one part will be left out. The merged company will have far more control on cost and thereby deeper influences on setting prices across different markets. This merger negotiation also laid bare to ridicule ability of our agencies to foresee such important amalgamation that has the potential to affect VAT and Tax revenue of the government struggling to finance development projects and social security programs.

Many subtle incidents also go unnoticed to the eyes of our antitrust bodies. For instance, selling of high value mobile phone sets or tabs at extended installments by mobile operators. This kind of practices deter competition among retailer shops and raise the costs for selling of such sets in the retail market. This tie-in sale practice has to be addressed in the Competition Act.

Another incident is to pick up exclusive multimedia content provider for entertainment contents. For instance, leading operators often inked exclusive deal with online entertainment service providers at a special fee or free of cost. This kind of exclusive deals raise entry barrier to other similar service providers and kill many budding companies. With the introduction of 4G , mobile operators play the role of windows to seamless internet service industry. In that service industry,  it cannot cut special deal with some clients ( entertainment service providers are operators ' clients) by depriving others. This subtle-competition-killer matter has to be taken into account by our antitrust authority in a bid to augment competition and welfare.

However, we have to acknowledge that the leading two mobile operators play a crucial role in bridging digital divide and educating poor and hard-to-reach community through their freebasics services at zero balance. The Facebook assisted freebasics allows one to browse internet without paying any fee.Obviously the two operators run this program as part of corporate social responsibility out of their own pockets.

But it should not be the reason to allow the merger of two operators who have significant subscriber base and market share. Government can sell another telecom license to a new willing company in combination with ailing one brings some foreign partner so that there is resurgence in competition in mobile telecom market. So far BTRC and the Court have taken the onus of enforcing competition and consumer rights in this market. In the coming months I hope Bangladesh Competition Commission under the auspices of parliament will take the lead in that end. Before that our Competition Act needs to be updated to address various forms of competition killing practices.