Friday, January 24, 2020

La Semaine Dernière A Mes Yeux

(17 janvier --- 25 janvier)

Selon un reportage, trois trains ont quitté le chemin à fer en deux jours à Gaouripur , Mymensingh. Heureusement, personne n'est pas blessée.

Selon un reportage, presque 109 Bangladais sont revenus au Bangladesh depuis l'Arabie saoudite. En janvier 2020, Arabie saoudite a envoyé 1610 Bangladais dans 16 jours.

Selon un reportage, un dirigeant d' un groupe indigène a été tué par balles à CHT.

Selon un reportage, ouvrier d'un jardin de thé a massacré 4 personnes à Moulvibazar.

Selon un reportage, un salarié de Bangladesh Film Development Corporation est mort au cours d' interpellation dans une gendarmerie. Ses collègues se sont insurgés contre la tuerie.

Selon un reportage, un étudiant d' un séminaire s'est suicidé à Patuakhali.


Selon un reportage, police a présenté procès verbal contre 101  barons de drogue à Cox's Bazar.

Selon un reportage, trois ouvriers ont été électrocuté à mort au bord de Buriganga à Rayerbazar.

Thursday, January 23, 2020

Shahana Leads The Way


Sycophants, party men and crony
Feast on government money.
There is no short of excuses:
Fight poverty, education, woman empowerment.
Corruption has reached all departments.
Still stalkers on prowl,
Violence grips the soul.
Then there is the light,
Kids show how to fight.
They make cartoon for the class,
'Shahana' will build a new kind of mass.
A small initiative draws my attention. "Shahana"--- a cartoon series made by a group of school goers in a bid to stop discrimination, to build awareness  and to reduce incidence of violence against women --- is finally being shown in classrooms. Educational content, taking full advantage of visual media, is employed to combat social maladies. Luckily this initiative got the much needed government support , which most private initiatives often failed to gather. Screening of this cartoon series comes at a time when the society descended into a collapse of  law and order. Harrowing act of violence is purported on women everyday.

Despite support and spendings by government, things have improved little over a decade. I took a look at government allocation on some selected social sectors over the last one decade. These allocations are meant to develop human resources. Allocations under consideration went to ministry of ICT & education, ministry of social welfare, ministry of labor, ministry of sports,ministry of health and family welfare and ministry of CHT. Data on allocation to some selected social sectors are readily available in Bangladesh Economic Review. Except one or two ministries, all the ministries undertake programs that develop human resources and create awareness on violence against women.

For instance, one of the ministries, ministry of education and ICT, saw an allocation bulge in the last one decade. But did  government spending make a difference at the ground? Did they really achieve their intended goals? I try to probe the matter. In this regard, I gleaned data on victims of violence against women.

Odhikar put up data of violence against women on its website regularly. Rape victims and dowry victims are defined here victims of violence against women. So here victims represent these two categories of victims. I am interested to see how the number of victims changes in relation to allocations on key social sectors between 2004 and 2017. I split the data in two periods: 2004-2008, dubbed as pre 2009 election period and 2009-2017 , called here as post 2009 election period. Changes in number of victims in relation to allocation for 2009-2017 seem to differ from 2004-2008. It suggests a structural change. More precisely, a structural change may indicate two intercepts are different, or two slopes are different, or both the slope and intercept are different or any other combination of parameters. Meanwhile, no structural change means structural stability. I am keen where to probe whether the victim function has experienced any structural change in the two periods, meaning whether parameters of the function have changed.

With the help of dummy variable I constructed the following regression:

Victimsi = a1 + a2Di+b1Ai+ b2(DiAi)+ui

Where Victimsi are victims of violence against women, Ai is allocation to selected social sectors, Di=0 for period 2004-2008 and Di= 1 for period 2009-2017.a2is the differential intercept and b2 is the differential slope coefficient.

For the observations of the given period, I find that stability of the entire regression, no structural change, (a2=b2=0) is accepted by the usual F test(F=1.805, p= 0.2098, df= 3,10). Moreover, on individual inspection, the a2(t=-1.759, p= 0.108) and b2(t= 2.13, p= 0.059) are found to be statistically insignificant. So from the given data  the test indicated that no structural change has taken place between two period.

The observations however did not include the victims' stat of 2018 and 2019. In the last two years, there has been a bulge in the number of victims of violence against women. This has happened while the allocations to selected social sectors have increased. And the statistical analysis just discussed little while ago shows variations of changes in victims' number are one same slope coefficient that prevailed in the period before 2009 election. So none with confidence can say increased allocations to selected social sectors led to bigger decline in the number of victims in recent years. For any given increase in allocations, there were no big decline in the number of victims.

Bigger allocations often do not translate into lesser number of victims.  No one with confidence can say that government spending played a role in developing human resources and awareness building on violence against women. A quick look at the stat reveals that in 2006 total allocations were Tk 15725 crore and number of victims was 1008. In 2017,  allocations were Tk 82324 crore and number of victims was 1045. Clearly there is something wrong the way government spends its money. It is spending so much but gaining so little.

A much prudent step would be to give support to private initiative like "Shahana". Public-private partnership could pave the path for combatting violence against women.
Targeting the adolescents and school goers, as " Shahana" did, could be an effective way to deal with the menace of violence against women. Government can reach out bloggers, content makers and other professionals to inculcate adolescents with a respect for women, their rights. At the same time, government can lend support to private initiative on sex education via social media so that adolescents know about it and dispel any ambiguities about this topic that deems taboo in our society.

This private initiative will not swallow huge money like government allocation. It only needs government support and patronage. Riding the tide of social media age, government with right attitude can undertake projects to connect public and private sectors in order to ensure gender equality and violence free society.

Monday, January 20, 2020

La Semaine Dernière A Mes Yeux

(10 janvier ---- 17 janvier)

Selon un reportage, 7855 personnes ont été péries dans la rue en 2019, une hausse de 8,07%. En 2018, 7221 personnes ont été tuées dans la rue. Plus de gens ont été tuées dans les vacances de l'Aïd.

Selon un reportage, un fidèle d' un groupe indigène a été tué par balles à Khagrachhari.

Selon un reportage, police a trouvé cadavre mutilés de deux ingénieurs d' une société bangladaise depuis le fleuve Dhaleshwari.

Selon un reportage, fidèles d'un groupe islamiste ont ciblé la mosquée et les maisons d' un groupe persécuté au Bangladesh, l'Ahmadia à Brahmanbaria.

Selon un reportage, une cour de Bangladesh a ordonné un mandat d'arrêt contre rédacteur et des journalistes d' un quotidien plus lu au Bangladesh. Ils ont été accusé d'avoir malgéré un événement à l'occasion d' anniversaire d' un magazine juvénile où un écolier a été électrocuté à mort. Le quotidien  publie les reportages en critiquant le gouvernement.

Saturday, January 11, 2020

La Semaine Dernière A Mes Yeux

(02 janvier ---- 09 janvier)

Selon un reportage, viol d' une étudiante de l'université de Dhaka a bouleversé le pays. La drame s'est déroulée près de Kurmitola. Des étudiants ont assiégé place de Shahbagh en signe de protestation.

 Selon un reportage, RAB a appréhendé le violeur présumé. Cependant, beaucoup de gens ont exprimé mécontents sur l'arrestation de violeur présumé. Ils pensent qu'il n'est pas le coupable.

Selon un reportage, en moyenne 4 femme ont été violées chaque jour l'année dernière.

Selon un reportage, la courte offensive du froid a tué 51 personnes à travers de Dhaka.

l Selon un reportage, Bangladesh Bank a alerté toutes les banques sur piratage d' e-mail assurant paiement d' achat dans la confection. Bangladesh Bank a déjà détecté escroquerie à ce propos.

Selon un reportage, un étudiant a été massacré à Nator. Les tueurs ont aussi sorti ses yeux.

Selon le réseau social Facebook, l'armée de la terre a entamé un programme de ségréguer les Tanchangyas et les Chakmas. Les groupes indigènes l'ont qualifié un programme apartheid comme celui de l'Afrique du Sud. Ils ont mis en question le but de ce programme.

Selon un reportage,  bureau de l'anti corruption a appréhendé un ingénieur public pour avoir pris le pot de vin. Le bureau a aussi saisi Tk 20 millions depuis chez lui.

Live Stock

Earn a cent,
Spend a dime,
Be it good days,
Or hard times,
Daughter wedding,
Left with nothing,
But piling debt.
Could not make it
When rivers inundate.
But life is easier
When there is microcredit.
My endeavor with a little study on rickshaw puller is finally over. I spent three hectic weeks in November and few days in December in 2019 to glean the desired information. The 40-respondent strong survey is intended to comprehend the spending and savings behavior of a typical rickshaw puller. The learning is amazing and new. It opened a whole new world where "out of sight, out of trust" means savings have to be visibly present right before one's eyes. In the previous post, I brought the house rent issue of a rickshaw puller under scanner. Here I dig deeper and divulge what I  gleaned from my recorded interviews.

General information:

A total of 40 respondents are interviewed. I split them based on locations of their garages: Dhaka North City Corporation and Dhaka South City Corporation. They age between 22-year old to 68-year old. They hail mostly from Mymensingh(10%), Gaibandha(10%), Bogra(10%), Sherpur(7.5%), Naogaon(7.5%), Kishorganj(7.5%), Barishal(5%), Chandpur(5%) and other districts. So respondents are scattered all across Bangladesh and no single district is dominating the pool of respondents.

Cultivable land:

Most of the respondents (64.10%) do not have any cultivable land. I have met rickshaw pullers who hinge on sharecropping to get part of their annual food stock. There are others who work as day laborers in village labor market. They split their time between Dhaka and villages, switching from Rickshaw pulling to sharecropping or selling labor. Only 15.83% of the respondents say they sell their labor in village labor market.


Daily earnings and costs:

Rickshaw pulling is a grueling task. Though in Dhaka, rickshaw pulling is becoming a lucrative job for informal laborers. I get wide range of responses about their daily earnings, varies between Tk 400 to Tk 1200. More than half of the respondents(57.50%) earn Tk500 per day. Tk 800 is earned by 15% of the respondents. I notice a battery-run rickshaw puller earns double than what a traditional rickshaw puller earns per day. One of the respondents is a battery-run rickshaw puller.

To take notice of price changes, I also calculated real earnings. I relied on GDP deflator to get a better measure of inflation adjusted earnings since GDP deflator comprises prices of all the goods and services in a country in a given period. The base year is here 2005-06 and I take the nominal GDP of 2017-18, as the data is available, to get the GDP deflator, which is 2.20.
In the given period, price level registered a 120% increase. For majority of the respondents, I find , the real daily earnings is Tk 227.27.

Respondents face a daily cost between Tk 250 to Tk 700. Most of the respondents (30%) face an out-of-pocket expense of Tk 300. 15% of the respondents incur a daily cost of Tk 270. 12.50% of the respondents count a daily cost of Tk320.

It appears that many respondents chose garages to spend their nights during their stint in Dhaka. They pay Tk 120 per day in this case.  And the price is inclusive of two-meal per day. They pay Tk 100 to garage owner for driving the rickshaw for a day. For snacks and other meals during their working hours, they encountered a range of costs, varying between Tk 60 to 100.


Both the daily real earnings and real cost are higher for rickshaw pullers reside in Dhaka South City Corporation. From slum census of 2014, we know that most of the slum dwellers from DSCC reside in slums erected on own property. Meanwhile, most of the slums in DNCC were built on government land. What changes took place in the slums of two city corporations are yet to be probed.

From the 40-respondent strong study of rickshaw pullers, I also try to  carry out a statistical analysis on the interaction between daily earnings and costs. Commonsense says that costs will respond positively to an increasing earnings. However, in the stat analysis, I find that F statistic gives a reading in that direction but the stubborn coefficient goes on the other way, trapping itself in confidence intervals. Pouring more observations could dispel the lack of evidence.


Savings:

While enquiring about their savings habits, I find and learn interesting things. Many respondents do not save at all. Those do save rest their trust on microcredit institution. They take loans from microcredit institutions at various points and start paying the credit the very day they take the loan. Savings amount is tied-in the credit. After completion of installment payments, microcredit institution retains the principal plus interest but gives back the savings to the borrower. This savings amount could then be reinvested or spent on family expenses.

Many of the respondents save by spending money on livestock. They buy a calf, rear it for some time and then sell it at a propitious time. Then they spend the money on family expenses, house renovation or land rent for sharecropping. This way of savings ---rearing livestock ---gives them some kind of trust as their "savings" grows right before their eyes, roams around them and is kept under their possession. No cheating, no deception.
They fear that evil quarter may swindle their money. Their fear has ground.

One rickshaw puller told me a heart breaking story. He opened a fixed deposit at a bank in Dhaka. For several years, he regularly deposited the money. Just before the maturity he came to learn that his deposit would mature two years later. The previous bank clerk did not keep any record of his first two years' savings. The poor fellow tried everything to convince the bank authority in vain. His two years' sweat money was swallowed by a swindler.

Besides microcredit institution (42.5%) and livestock(15%), insurance company (5%), self(5%) and relatives (5%) appear to be savings option for them. I encountered a rickshaw puller saves in an insurance company. Mobile financial services could also be considered as an option for savings. But none of the respondents said they opened the mobile banking account for savings only. Rather mobile banking account is extensively used to send money back home.

Loan:

Respondents take loan , which ranges from Tk 2000 to Tk 200000. However, a good number of them(33.33%) do not take any loan.
And those who take loan, most stick to the size of Tk 50,000(17.9%). Equal percentage of respondents (12.82%) take a loan of  size Tk 40,000 and Tk 30,000. The rest goes for various amounts of loan.

Respondents take loan mostly from microcredit institution (66.66%), relatives (5.56%) and neighborhood cooperative (5.56%). BRAC , Asha, Grameen, Shakti and Bureau Bangladesh appear to be the mentioned microcredit institutions.

Respondents put forward an array of reasons for taking loans, varies from daughter's wedding to cultivation and livestock. Daughter's wedding (8.57%), family expenses (8.57%) and sharecropping and land rent (8.57%) jointly top the list of reasons for taking loan. House purchase or renovation (5.71%), rickshaw purchase (5.71%) and livestock (5.71%) are other frequently mentioned reasons. In addition, reasons are attributed to children's education, natural disaster, cultivation, medical expenses and family dispute.

Contrary to my conviction,man made issues appear to be the principal causes for taking loan by rickshaw puller.

Money sent back home and the medium:

An overwhelming number of respondents prefer mobile banking services to send money back home. Apart from that, they also send the money by themselves or through relatives / acquaintances. Mobile financial services, it appears, play a crucial role in financial inclusion of lower income group by easing the financial transaction between sole bread winner and the rest of the family. At the same time, it reduces dependencies on traditional method that is opaque and that is difficult to keep record of financial transaction. Thus securing the interests of clients and insulating them from any wrong or fraudulent transaction.

Money sent back to village home ranges between Tk 2000 to Tk 15000 per month. Most of the respondents send Tk 10,000 per month(19.44%). Meanwhile, Tk 15,000 (13.89%) and Tk 5,000(13.89%) are other two frequently cited amount the respondents prefer to send back home.

Government allowance or social security program:

In sharp contrast to my belief, I find that only three of the respondents actually get government allowance or benefits from social security programs. One rickshaw puller gets few kilos of rice every month , another rickshaw puller's wife gets lactating mother's allowance and another one's father gets elderly allowance from the government. When I probe about ease of getting social allowance , they say they have to get along well with the local representatives and, in some cases, they pay part of the allowance as bribe to comply for such programs. In fact, many respondents lack this kind of privileges.

Concluding remarks:

My little study may not be representative, but I find that rickshaw pullers are extremely vulnerable to any volatility to their monthly and annual spending. Microcredit institutions are doing a tremendous job in empowering them and to get them l decent living. In addition, they also impart the habit of savings among rickshaw pullers. In terms of financial inclusion and improving the living standards of rickshaw pullers, microcredit institutions are leading from the front. I am appalled to learn that so few rickshaw pullers get social benefits. Government can widen its campaign to include the left out rickshaw pullers into social security programs. A good approach to that endeavor will be to make a database of rickshaw garages sprang up all across the Dhaka city. The database will have names of the rickshaw pullers and their native village addresses. Those who are out of social security programs could easily be included into the programs with the help of this database.Any cash or food aid will improve their livelihoods and leave a positive impact on their savings and economic activity.

Sunday, January 5, 2020

La Semaine Dernière A Mes Yeux

(27 décembre --- 02 janvier)

Selon un reportage, l'assemblée générale de l'ONU a dit oui à la résolution d'assurer sécurité à groupe persécuté Rohingya.
Selon un reportage, police a sévèrement battu les manifestants gauchistes qui protestaient dans la rue critiquant l'anniversaire de l'élection générale en 2018. Presque 45 personnes ont été blessées.

Selon un reportage, les salariés d' une banque commerciale ont assiégé le bureau d' un PDG en signe de protestation contre baisse de leur salaire. Anomalie, issue de malgestion par ancien PDG, a provoqué baisse de salaire.

Selon un reportage, accident dans la rue a péri un salarié de Bangladesh Bank et ses deux filles.

Selon un reportage, fils d'un journaliste a brûlé à mort chez eux. Les pompiers soupçonnent que explosion de climatiseur ou laptop a provoqué l'incendie.

Selon un reportage, cadavre d' un étudiant d' un séminaire a été trouvé dans armoire d' un enseignant à Gazipur. Police a appréhendé deux coupables depuis le séminaire.

Selon un reportage, le porte-parole de l'armée  s'est dit que l'armée de la terre avait détruit les champs de cannabis à Khagrachhari. Elle s'est dit que chaque année les champs produisaient des cannabis qui valait Tk 1  milliard.

Saturday, January 4, 2020

Floating Woes Of Dhaka

Dhaka is heading for another mayoral election. Unlike other cities of Bangladesh, Dhaka is home of the largest floating people of the country. They throng here to look for jobs and to sustain families back in their native villages. Both the City Corporations mostly cater to the need of 15% or 20% of Dhaka population who have their own roof and a tiny section of whom , I assume, pay taxes to City Corporations.

Meanwhile, descamidos occupying numerous shanties across the city lack all basic amenities for a city dweller in spite of the fact that they also participate in economic activity to keep the wheel of urban economy moving. However, many of these village folks fall victim of intense exploitation as the city is infested with numerous thugs of all hues to swallow a part of the fruit of their hard labor. To insulate them from exploitation, to provide them a secure livelihood are no less important  task for City Corporations. Ignoring a decent place to stay and a decent work place for these fortune seekers could be proven too costly for both the City Corporations when it comes to the matter of making a livable Dhaka. Dhaka cannot become livable overnight by letting homeless people, the 85% of city dwellers, live a miserable life.

There will be no gainsaying that there is a slum dwelling population bulge in the last five years due to the lack of seasonal employment in rural areas, climatic conditions and urban pull factors. Numerous floating street markets and overwhelming number of rickshaws buttressed the evidence. Bangladesh's other major cities emulate the picture of rural-urban migration that can be found in Dhaka.

However, I am appalled to see that the floating people and their woes have never been made entry into the urban development programs of the two City Corporations.


According to census of slums in 2014, 64.87% of slum dwellers live in rented houses whereas 48.45% of them lived in rented accommodation back in 1997. In Dhaka North City Corporation only 48.89% of the slum dwellers dependent on rented houses. In 2014, that percentage rose to 72.83%. Meanwhile, 87.42% of slum dwellers live in rented accommodation in Dhaka South City Corporation.

In the meantime, house rent indices  also increased. For Dhaka city, it was 4843.69 in 2013-14. In 2017-18, it stood at 6718.23.

 Despite the fact it took into account the private residential house across the country, rent in slum dwelling also goes up when utility fares and rent of private houses increase. So House Rent Indices could be seen as a measure of changes in prices of housing in slums also.

Certainly, for slum dwellers the rent of accommodation has also gone up. I have recently done a little survey  on rickshaw pullers about their daily earnings and expenses. I found that a rickshaw puller pays between Tk3000-5000 as house rent to reside in this city. That means a rickshaw puller has to pay between 25% and 41.67% of his monthly earnings on house rent.

The census of slums 2014 also tells that 61.4% of slum dwellers live in slums popped up in govt lands whereas 32.32% of slum dwellers live in slums erected on own lands in Dhaka North City Corporation. In contrast,  Dhaka South City Corporation offers a completely different picture. 74.94% of slum dwellers live in slums built on own land whereas 19.66% of slum dwellers live in slums constructed on government lands.

Vast portion of rent money ended into the pockets of people whose income may not contribute to national economy and wellbeing of the mass.

This is where City Corporations can step in and play a bigger role to assuage the housing problem of people perched on the lower ladder of income. City Corporations hold the authority to collect holding taxes, to set up bazars, to demolish illegal structures under its area and to issue rickshaw licenses.

So it is unbelievable that a certain quarter making huge bucks every month by setting up illegal facilities and exploiting the village folks while keeping the City Corporations in the dark.

The upcoming mayors can take cue from private sector housing initiative. Foreign investors with their local partners are unfolding accommodation packages for bachelors and students at an affordable price. Charitable organizations are also setting up affordable hostels for working women all across Bangladesh. These are examples that need to be replicated.

City Corporations can liaise with government and private organizations that have empty  lands scattered across the city to make good use of the lands , fending off the influence of bad quarters that collect unabated rents. City Corporations can then build arrays of housing facilitates, maybe makeshift, targeting the informal sector laborers, with the assistance from donors and other housing companies.

Benefits are two-pronged: cash-strapped City Corporations will have a steady stream of revenue and have a close tab on the informal sector labor force; for an informal worker, a significant reduction of housing expenses and a safe accommodation during his stint in the city.

Reducing the housing cost for lower income group has tremendous impact on improving their economic conditions. If a rickshaw puller's housing expenditures at Dhaka is lowered to 10% or 15% of his monthly earnings, then it will contribute to augment his monthly income. This retained / increased earnings will be spared for more income generating activities like rearing cows or share cropping.

Another group that will be benefitted from this initiative is the utility companies. As the City Corporations will take the onus of providing housing to lower income group, there will be a curb in system loss due to misuse of electricity, gas and water. City Corporations may offer these utilities or provide alternatives.


For various political reasons, previous city administrators overlooked this important group of the urban economy. It only pushed them towards the clutches of sharks and exploiters. New city administrators should spare no time to take notice of roles this group of workers plays in urban economy and take drastic steps to unpack an array of policies to address their housing woes.