Saturday, November 4, 2023

La Semaine Dernière A Mes Yeux




(04 novembre --- 10 novembre)

Cliquez pour voir/cacher
Ma Semaine Gastronomique
Date Petit déjeuner Déjeuner Dîner Snacks,Sucreries,Boissons et Fritures
04 Pain tchapati,Pois chiches avec pomme de terre Riz,Feuilles de tête de amarante éléphant, Auberge, Poulet avec pomme de terre Pain tchapati,Poulet ---
05 Pain tchapati,Poulet Riz,Haricot vert,Ruhi avec Pomme de terre Riz,Ruhi avec pomme de terre,Soupe aux lentilles Lait
06 Lait Riz,Ruhi,Papaye-Chou-fleur Pain tchapati,Poulet,Haricot vert,Papaye ---
07 Pain tchapati,Poulet,Lait Riz,Soupe aux lentilles,Ruhi,Pomme de terre,Haricot vert Pain tchapati,Papaye-Carotte-Haricot vert,Purée de pomme de terre ----
08 Pain tchapati,Papaye-Carotte-Haricot vert,Lait Riz,Feuilles d'éléphant amarante, Radis,Soupe aux lentilles Pain tchapati,Radis ---
09 Pain tchapati,Radis Riz,Soupe aux lentilles, Feuilles de radis Riz,Poulet,Feuilles de radis,Pakora(friture de l'ail) Lait
10 Pain tchapati,Chou-fleur, Pois blanc avec poulet,Lait Riz,Petit poisson, Gourde calebasse Riz,Soupe aux lentilles, Pianju(friture d'oignons) Lait

Friday, November 3, 2023

Another Transition Period Begins


Transition period sees violence wanton,
Pass laws to make it feature bygone.

Bangladesh has entered another transition period ,which stretches from three months before election to three months after election. If election is scheduled to be held early January or mid January, then transition period will end at the end of March or mid April next year.

Back in April ,2019,I wrote about then transition period titled "End of Another Transition Period"1. Highlighting some parts of it:

…It is only comparable with the twilight or dawn when the nature tries to adapt itself to the changes.

In Bangladesh, this transition period bears a negative connotation as it is marked with violent political events and regime changes. The administration during this period behaves more freely than under any other regime, people believe. But rival political parties here have inveterate tendency not to walk along the path of reconciliation. So any proposal that involves cooperation with the rivals is often faced intransigence from feuding parties. The result is violent clashes.

…Though ruling party has an overarching influence over the transition administration, transition administration could boast the figure as its success. Casualties from intra party clash left a blot on that claim.

As per the annual stat of Odhikar, there have been 281 incidents of factional clash in Awami League and 14 incidents of infighting within BNP. Intra party clashes resulted in 53 deaths and 3225 injuries for Awami League and 3 deaths and 115 injuries for BNP. My personal observation is that the figures would go up if we have taken into account undocumented incidents and extrajudicial killings. Clearly it is a proof that the transitory administration failed to reign in intra party violence.

Another striking thing I noticed in the last half of the transition period is the rising number of workers' unrest and fire incidents. While the former managed to raise the basic salary significantly, the latter caused deaths of innocent civilians and triggered suspicion among general population. Government should immediately form a judicial investigation committee to probe on the fire incidents to dispel any suspicion. Fatalities from road mishaps have also gone up in the above period. These incidents call into question smooth functioning of transitory administration.

In the past we saw that bloody tragedies struck in this period taking full advantage of the lethargic state of transitory period. The main task of this kind of administration is to pass the baton from one elected government to another. In doing so, breaking down of public order often destabilizes homeostasis of the state.

This transition period is no exception. It begins with the fire incident at a commercial building that housed largest servers of Google and Facebook in Bangladesh. It also served as hub of local broadband internet companies. The incident claimed lives of two people. Authorities claimed the fire incident slowed down the internet across the country. Later a cargo train ignoring instructions of stationmaster hit a passenger train ,killing 18 people and snapping rail links between Dhaka and Chattogram for more than six hours. The incidents occurred few days before grand assembly of the main opposition party in Dhaka.

The assembly was marred in widespread violence, killing one policeman in the line of duty and injuring scores of others. Interestingly ruling regime also called on gathering in Dhaka on that day. Dozens of cars were set on fire and police hospital and judges’ residential complex were also attacked. What is interesting this all happened at the stretch of an area where a circle with a 1-km-long radius includes important police installation like detective branch training school,NSI headquarter, several police stations, Secretariat building, installation of President Guard’s regiments and other key public installations. Killing and mayhem without resistance is unthinkable in such a security-tight area. Later opposition called a one-day strike and series of blockade across the country. These programs also witnessed loss of lives(4 opposition activists killed including a journalist) and vandalism. Senior opposition leaders and thousands of opposition activists were detained. Like the previous transition period, this period also witnessed widespread garments workers' protest for wage hike, resulted in factory attacks and killing of two workers. In some parts, protest continued in spite of hike assurance. Shut down of 200 factories ensued. What I do not understand is that how on earth garments factories continue operation in the busiest parts of Dhaka when govt earlier prohibited their activity in Dhaka Metropolitan area. Who are the owners of these factories? Where do the workers of these factories reside in?

On March 26,2021, hundredth independence day anniversary of Bangladesh was marred in violence in Brahmanbaria. Google search on Bangladesh on that day trended the stories and images of those violence instead of stories of independence day celebration. This time too the stories of political violence in Bangladesh is trending across international media.

Govt is inaugurating key infrastructures which many thought impossible in this country even a decade ago. Riding on these success stories,it is confident that it is going to win the next election. There is speculation that this violence and widespread detention could be a mean to coerce the opposition. While economy is in a dwindling situation, a packet of biriyani or a meager-amount of money may induce one deranged person to engage in subversive activities, chanting slogans of political parties . In this situation, it is invidious to blame squarely the opposition for the violence at the time of transition period. BNP ,which draws its support from the middle and lower-middle class, has never been well versed with street agitation. It landed itself into such a position by throwing such a street movement, which has all the chances of being hijacked by agent provocateurs. All this consolidates the narrative of depoliticization. It is the economy that faces the gravest risk of uncertainties emerging from the political impasse. Longer the stalemate, wider the budget deficit and bigger the fall of taka. Internal and external Investment will be shelved for a favorable climate, making harder the economic recovery.

To make the transition period trouble free and violence free,we have to make all the government agencies accountable to the Parliament and the press. In USA,Federal Tort Claims Act2 allows victim American citizens to sue US government or agencies for compensation. In India, then RAW chief RN Kao once appeared before the Parliament to offer his explanation on the role of his agency during the emergency rule,which was marked by gross violation of human rights. I think we should pass laws in the Parliament to make these agencies accountable and restrain them from doing unwarranted acts.Reconciliation and judicial probe could make the transition period as well as the future peaceful.

Notes And References

  1. " End of Another Transition Period ",Rezaul Hoque,April 10,2019.. https://hoquestake.blogspot.com.Here is the link:https://hoquestake.blogspot.com/2019/04/end-of-another-transition-period.html?m=1
  2. Federal Tort Claims Act.Here is the link:https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_Tort_Claims_Act

Saturday, October 28, 2023

La Semaine Dernière A Mes Yeux




(28 octobre --- 03 novembre)

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Ma Semaine Gastronomique
Date Petit déjeuner Déjeuner Dîner Snacks,Sucreries,Boissons et Fritures
28 Pain tchapati, Pois blanc avec tête de chèvre Riz,Pois blanc avec tête de chèvre,radis et papaye Riz,chou-fleur Pois blanc sec
29 Khichury,Omelette Khichury,Chou-fleur Riz,Ruhi Lait
30 Pain tchapati,Ruhi Riz,Soupe aux lentilles,Ruhi,Papaye Riz,Soupe aux lentilles,Ruhi Moglaï paratha
31 Pain tchapati,Papaye Riz,Ruhi,Soupe aux lentilles,Feuilles de l'amarantel'amarante de tête d'éléphant --- Lait
01 Pain tchapati,Omelette Riz,Pois chiches,Poisson chat avec queue jaune Pain tchapati,Poisson chat avec queue jaune Lait
02 Pain tchapati,Omelette Riz,Poisson chat avec queue jaune,Banane verte Pain tchapati,Ruhi avec pomme de terre ---
03 Pain tchapati,Ruhi avec pomme de terre Riz,Feuilles de radis,Ruhi,Chou-fleur avec papaye,Soupe aux lentilles Pain tchapati,Chou-fleur avec papaye,Feuilles de radis Lait,Tchutki pitha(vermicelle local)

Friday, October 27, 2023

Increase In Incentives For Remitters


Falling value of Taka against the dollar
Brings more remittances from blue collar.
Letting market fix the exchange rate
Withers away chances to speculate.

Finance Minister in a press conference stated that govt would give taka 5 for 1 USD sent by the migrant Bangladeshi workers. He almost doubled the incentives for remitters. This is indeed contrary to the contractionary monetary policy the Central Bank is pursuing right now. Earlier he also defended his 9-6(9% on lending rate and 6% on deposit rate) interest rate policy,which was widely criticized for not containing the inflation.

Despite the failure of earlier taka 2.5 /USD cash incentives, many are wondering what it will really add to the economy. What is interesting while Bank and exchange houses are lacking USD,street vendors are offering USD at a higher rate. It seems like a black market for cinema ticket! A certain quarter is making some quick bucks. Profiteering activity is in full swing amid a crisis! Back in September 15 this year,I penned a piece titled “Is MPS Working?”1. Sharing parts of it again:

During the Bakri Eid festival, a record amount of remittances come to Bangladesh. Many banks reported that. However, this Bakri Eid witnessed fewer animal sacrifices this year as cattle prices were beyond many people’s reach. Amount of Haseel(fee collected from sold animal by the makeshift market authority) was also lower. That means households did not spend all the money sent by the dear ones from abroad. They may be lying in the banks. And govt also paid cash incentives to those remittances. Are those bank accounts belong to true individuals? Trouble ridden banks have limited scope for raising their revenue. Opportunistic motive may play a role here to grab the benefits of cash incentives for remitters. Similarly, we have noticed exporters do not feel encouraged to bring the export proceeds at home. The result is huge differences between the stat produced by EPB and that by Bangladesh Bank. But they enjoyed special benefits and incentives while processing the export orders. True export earnings should be the earnings brought to home. And incentives should only be given to this amount.

We have already witnessed that USA surpassed UAE and other countries and became one of the top three remittance sources. US visa restrictions facilitated the transfers. Experts and press speculated that certain quarters took advantage of the discrepancy between the official and market rates and made a fortune out of this.

Cash incentives on remittances only aggravate the ongoing profiteering problem instead of solving it.In another piece titled “Let The Market Decide The Exchange Rate” 2back in June,I spelled out how this profiteering unfolds.Sharing parts of it again:

In addition, setting the exchange rate at multiple levels also encourage money laundering. Remember that there is unprecedented hike in policy rates in occidental countries. In particular, USA surpassed all of them. So dollar deposits earn more than other currency deposits. So investment, clandestine money flow end up in America. This partly explains 94% reduction in the deposits held by Bangladeshis in Swiss banks. When Canada,UK toughened their immigration policy ,Bangladeshi deposits in Swiss banks swelled. By not allowing Taka to depreciate further and not raising the policy rate enough,we are making it easier for the wealthy to invest in these countries. Many of our exporters and importers have partners abroad. Through them they can put their money into these foreign currency deposits or cut some sort of currency swap agreements to take advantage of the arbitrage opportunity if domestic exchange rate is not favorable enough. If they see interest rate will rise in future and Taka will depreciate more, then they will prefer to bring the export proceeds later to gain more. That is why the best remedy is to trust the market and let it fix the rate. This will wither away all the speculative motive. However, the current decision of the central bank has introduced friction into market, which in the end helps the currency speculator.

Notes And References

  1. "Is MPS Working?", Rezaul Hoque,September 15,2023,https://hoquestake.blogspot.com.Here is the link : https://hoquestake.blogspot.com/2023/09/is-mps-working.html?m=1
  2. " Let The Market Decide The Exchange Rate",Rezaul Hoque,June 30,2023,https://hoquestake.blogspot.com.Here is the link: https://hoquestake.blogspot.com/2023/06/let-market-decide-exchange-rate.html?m=1

Saturday, October 21, 2023

La Semaine Dernière A Mes Yeux




(21 octobre --- 27 octobre)

Cliquez pour voir/cacher
Ma Semaine Gastronomique
Date Petit déjeuner Déjeuner Dîner Snacks,Sucreries,Boissons et Fritures
21 Pain tchapati,Papaye Riz,Soupe aux lentilles,Petit poisson avec pomme de terre Riz,Soupe aux lentilles,Petit poisson avec pomme de terre ---
22 Pain tchapati,Omelette Riz,Pois blanc avec tête de chèvre Riz,Pois blanc avec tête de chèvre Lait
23 Pain tchapati,Pois blanc avec tête de chèvre Riz,Épinard d'eau,Pois blanc avec tête de chèvre Riz,Pois blanc avec tête de chèvre ---
24 Pain tchapati,Omelette Riz,Ruhi avec pomme de terre,Papaye-Banane verte-Citrouilles --- Lait
25 Pain tchapati,Papaye-Banane verte-Citrouilles,Omelette Riz,Hilsa,Banane verte Riz,Hilsa,Pomme de terre ---
26 Pain tchapati,Omelette Riz,Poulet avec pomme de terre Riz,Poulet avec pomme de terre Lait
27 Riz,Gourde calebasse, Omelette, Hilsa Riz,Papaye-Pomme de terre,Loche guntéa Tête de chèvre dans pois blanc,Riz,Papaye-Pomme de terre,Loche guntéa ---

Friday, October 20, 2023

New Tax Act And eReturn System


Well spelt,easy eReturn system
Could resolve govt's revenue problem.

Bangladesh has introduced new Income Tax Act(2023) this year. As online tax return submission---scheduled to be ended in November 30 or extended to December –has started, I leafed through the new income tax act. There is some interesting discovery for me. But first, let’s start with the experience I have with the online e-Return system.

The introduction of the system witnessed record number of people come under tax net in the last couple of years. It is a commendable job as NBR managed to complete /install the online system after a Vietnamese company left in the middle of the job. I submitted my zero tax return, but there are some issues that I cannot help raising:

1. The online return system is in English. If it were in Bangla, a large number of Bangladeshis would feel encouraged to use it. Compared to print version, online return system is elaborated and thoroughly explained.

2. This year NBR introduced Single page return for those with income less than taka 500,000 or wealth less than taka 40,00,000. Single page return still needs lots of clarification. For instance, total assets,expenditure, net wealth,source of income needs to be defined for TIN holders submitting their 2nd or 3rd return. Like detail return,explanation could be introduced here.

3. Current set up of the online system does not allow uploading of scanned copies of documents. Addressing the issue will encourage more people to use the system.

4. Using the system with smartphone is still difficult. It is hard to save documents on mobile phone.

5. Respective data field under expenditure, asset etc sections should be flexible and incorporate options to upload required documents.

The good thing about the new tax act is that it allows eReturn submission, zero tax on SMEs operated by women,zero tax on economic activities of indigenous people in CHT, tax waiver on startups.

However, what I found interesting is that no tax on religious charities or Bangla-medium educational institutions. Governance in these institutions is very weak. On top of that governing body constitutes of stakeholders from different creed who do not perform as per the wishes of students and parents. Making them tax free only complicates/enhances the decaying situation. Many undertake various construction/development works using the institution fund, furnishing no explanation whatsoever on how the money was spent. Imposing tax will improve the situation.

NBR allows tax exemption for startups that incur loss during growth years. In the finance act, we see investment of opaque capital is allowed in ICT sector like the real-estate. However, dismal conditions of e-commerce industry and recent closure of PaperFly does not offer much room for optimism. Meanwhile, SMEs which have to pay interest on average around 20% and are doing well in the face of odds. In terms of value addition, SMEs add more values than the ICT but do not get much attention from the NBR. Some reports say $1 billion of the previous fiscal year went missing from our export earnings. This year $7/8 billion of export proceeds have not arrived yet. Economists like Rehman Sobhan fears hundiwalas might store the money to exploit the situation in future. As govt offers cash incentives to freelancers and IT firms,evil quarters may steal the money wearing IT sector’s boots and adding no value to the economy. NBR should come up with ideas how to address the issues.

Tax act is not clear about tobacco tariff. One Parliament member in the last budget session correctly pointed out that govt imposed duty on profits from tobacco goods but not on sale. Sales duty on tobacco will augment revenue, which is now falling short of IMF target. Govt did increase the duty on profits but did not lend ear to the advice.

I have also noticed that it is difficult to verify online return submission of TIN with ten-digit. Online verification of return submission should be made easy.

Some YouTubers did tremendous help to govt by launching videos on how to submit tax return. I submitted my zero tax return watching such videos. I think NBR should take the initiative to create and disseminate such educational videos to dispel any ambiguity in submitting return. Similar videos can be created to submit VAT return. NBR's job is not only to identify taxpayers but also includes educating the taxpayers. If step-by-step process in filling the tax return is spelt ,more people will be encouraged to submit tax return. In addition ,NBR could also host a frequently asked questions (FAQ) section on its website to respond to some common queries.

Making TIN registration and return submission easy, many unintended consequences could be avoided. Often some quarters open deposit scheme in the banks or purchase savings certificates using fake id. It is also reported in the news many took bank loans of astronomical sum using other people's id while keeping them in the dark. Similarly, many go abroad stealing other identities. In 2009-10,many former agency people in Bangladesh went to Britain using this mean. British home ministry unearthed the incident and it became a news item.

TIN certificate and return submission verification could easily stop these fraudulent activities. Immigration could easily detect such fake persons with such verification system. Similarly, flow of illicit capital could also be checked. The more easy and user friendly our tax return system becomes, the more benefit the govt will reap from it.

Sunday, October 15, 2023

La Semaine Dernière A Mes Yeux




(14 octobre --- 20 octobre)

Cliquez pour voir/cacher
Ma Semaine Gastronomique
Date Petit déjeuner Déjeuner Dîner Snacks,Sucreries,Boissons et Fritures
14 Khitchuri,Poulet Riz,Gourde épineuse, Ruhi avec pomme de terre,Soupe aux lentilles Riz,Soupe aux lentilles, Ruhi Miel bangladaise,Goyave
15 Pain tchapati Riz,Pomme de terre,Tête de Ruhi dans soupe aux haricots mungo Riz,Soupe aux haricots mungo,Petit poisson Lait,Goyave
16 Pain tchapati,Soupe aux haricots mungo Riz,Gobie charmante,Soupe aux haricots mungo Riz,Soupe aux lentilles,Gobie charmante ---
17 Bombaï toast Riz,Pomme de terre,Soupe aux lentilles Riz,Purée de pomme de terre,Soupe aux lentilles,Gobie charmante ---
18 Riz,Poisson bombili,Pois blanc,Haricot vert Riz,Soupe aux lentilles,Haricot vert Riz,Soupe aux lentilles,Haricot vert Lait
19 Pain tchapati,Sucré Riz,Petit poisson Riz,Poisson bombili Singara,Lait
20 Paratha,Omelette Riz,Épinard malabar Riz,Épinard malabar Lait